Los Angeles City Council: local ideal points, 2001–2026

Pooled voting history across thirteen council compositions

Author

Boris Shor

Updated

October 14, 2026

Los Angeles’s council voting history covers 2001–2026. The expanded analysis places 56 members on one voting spectrum, connecting earlier councils to today’s through their overlapping membership. It shows both the range of positions within a largely Democratic council and the emergence of a distinct socialist-endorsed group. Council-by-council views show how the membership changed across elections.

56 members
Pooled across 2001–2026

13 council windows
Membership across elections

2,986 roll calls
Contested council decisions

37,348 votes
Recorded yeas and nays

Dataset and construction

The analysis combines published recent roll-call votes, 2001–2003 electronic voting slips preserved in council files, and votes recovered directly from the City Clerk’s historical council journals. The earlier journals identify dissenters and absentees; the remaining members are counted as yeas only when that reconstruction agrees with the printed tally. Repeated references to the same numbered roll call are treated as one vote, even when it disposed of several agenda items.

Measure Value
Members fitted 56
Qualifying roll calls 2,986
Recorded yea/nay votes 37,348
Recovered historical roll calls 1,037
Recent published roll calls 1,949
First qualifying vote 2001⁠-⁠01⁠-⁠10
Last qualifying vote 2026⁠-⁠10⁠-⁠06

A vote qualifies when at least one member votes on each side and at least ten members cast yea or nay. Members need at least seven qualifying votes. This keeps lone-dissenter votes, which are informative in a fifteen-member council, while excluding near-empty records. Absence is not opposition, and a missing record is not a recorded vote.

Historical coverage is substantial but not exhaustive. The early voting slips identify individual responses; duplicate copies filed under different council matters count as one event. Clearly supported handwritten unanimous votes can be reconstructed and flagged, while unclear records remain missing. Tim McOsker is included, giving the latest council view all fifteen members. The technical appendix documents construction, coverage checks and estimation. The earlier 2021–2026 report remains available separately.

Qualifying Los Angeles council roll calls by year, showing historical coverage and the recent published record.

The pooled council spectrum

Los Angeles council members ordered by pooled voting position, with uncertainty intervals, party colors and separate endorsement symbols.

Colors distinguish researched party affiliations. Symbols distinguish documented DSA and Abundant Housing LA endorsements, kept as separate indicators. An unmarked member has no endorsement documented here—not necessarily no endorsement historically. Each member has one pooled estimate; the intervals show uncertainty around that estimate.

End of spectrum Voting position Qualifying votes
Eunisses Hernandez -5.25 1,025
Mitchell Englander 1.11 292

Presidential voting by council district

Fifteen election-day Los Angeles council members plotted against their district's 2024 Trump vote share. The relationship slopes upward, with Hernandez and Soto-Martinez distinctly left of other members.

Members from more Republican-voting districts generally sit further right on the council spectrum, although the relationship is far from uniform (Pearson correlation 0.41). John Lee’s district has the highest Trump share; Hernandez and Soto-Martínez sit well to the left of colleagues from similarly Democratic districts. Party alone does not capture these differences within the council.

The comparison uses the members serving on Election Day, November 5, 2024—including Krekorian and de León, not their December successors. All fifteen districts have fitted members, including McOsker. Presidential returns are aggregated from published 2024 precinct results using the 2021 council map. Boundary-crossing precincts require approximate allocation; the appendix describes the checks and assumptions.

Policy context

The recent council’s disagreements cover policing, homelessness and labor policy. Hernandez, Raman and Soto-Martínez opposed the 2023 police-pay agreement over budget priorities; it passed 12–3. CBS/City News Service

Buscaino advocated tougher encampment restrictions, while Bonin and Raman opposed the 2021 anti-camping ordinance. Los Angeles Times

Three reported votes illustrate Monica Rodriguez’s emphasis on public safety and her opposition to some recent council initiatives:

  • Police hiring and the budget, May 22, 2025: Rodriguez, Lee and Park opposed the revised budget, which advanced 12–3. They objected to inadequate public-safety funding and a reduction in planned LAPD recruitment from 480 to 240 officers. City News Service/Spectrum
  • Tourism-worker wages, May 14, 2025: the same three opposed the preliminary plan for a $30 minimum wage by 2028 for hotel and airport workers. Rodriguez and Park also sought different treatment for contracted, variable-hour workers. City News Service
  • Encampment restrictions, August 2026: Rodriguez, Park and Padilla opposed repealing twelve camping bans; the repeal passed 10–3. Los Angeles Times

These examples supply policy context, not a claim that every disagreement is about the same issue.

Councils across elections

The tabs share a common horizontal axis and the same pooled estimates. Windows follow the turnover of staggered elected council seats, including replacements within a council. The 2015 and 2017 terms were extended as LA shifted to even-year elections, so there is no invented 2019 turnover. City Charter, section 205

Los Angeles council voting positions for 2001 (Jan–Jun), with member uncertainty intervals and endorsement symbols.

Los Angeles council voting positions for 2001 (Jan–Jun).

Los Angeles council voting positions for 2001–2003, with member uncertainty intervals and endorsement symbols.

Los Angeles council voting positions for 2001–2003.

Los Angeles council voting positions for 2003–2005, with member uncertainty intervals and endorsement symbols.

Los Angeles council voting positions for 2003–2005.

Los Angeles council voting positions for 2005–2007, with member uncertainty intervals and endorsement symbols.

Los Angeles council voting positions for 2005–2007.

Los Angeles council voting positions for 2007–2009, with member uncertainty intervals and endorsement symbols.

Los Angeles council voting positions for 2007–2009.

Los Angeles council voting positions for 2009–2011, with member uncertainty intervals and endorsement symbols.

Los Angeles council voting positions for 2009–2011.

Los Angeles council voting positions for 2011–2013, with member uncertainty intervals and endorsement symbols.

Los Angeles council voting positions for 2011–2013.

Los Angeles council voting positions for 2013–2015, with member uncertainty intervals and endorsement symbols.

Los Angeles council voting positions for 2013–2015.

Los Angeles council voting positions for 2015–2017, with member uncertainty intervals and endorsement symbols.

Los Angeles council voting positions for 2015–2017.

Los Angeles council voting positions for 2017–2020, with member uncertainty intervals and endorsement symbols.

Los Angeles council voting positions for 2017–2020.

Los Angeles council voting positions for 2020–2022, with member uncertainty intervals and endorsement symbols.

Los Angeles council voting positions for 2020–2022.

Los Angeles council voting positions for 2022–2024, with member uncertainty intervals and endorsement symbols.

Los Angeles council voting positions for 2022–2024.

Los Angeles council voting positions for 2024–2026, with member uncertainty intervals and endorsement symbols.

Los Angeles council voting positions for 2024–2026.

Council medians over time, with a shaded band for the middle 50% of members and thin whiskers for the full range. These show dispersion across members, not uncertainty in an estimate.

Council medians over time, with a shaded band for the middle 50% of members and thin whiskers for the full range. These show dispersion across members, not uncertainty in an estimate.

The first window covers January–June 2001, the observed end of the council elected in 1999. Subsequent windows follow election turnovers. These are changes in council composition, not estimates of individual members moving over time. Historical organizational endorsement coverage is incomplete; later endorsements are not projected backward onto earlier councils.

Voting distributions and polarization

Density curves summarize Los Angeles members’ pooled voting positions and compare the earliest and current council windows.

Density curves summarize Los Angeles members’ pooled voting positions and compare the earliest and current council windows.

The curves summarize members’ estimated positions, not the number of votes they cast. The earlier/current overlay uses the same smoothing for both groups. Curves taper to zero at the outermost members rather than extending beyond them. Each distribution counts a member once, including replacements who served during that window. The median-and-spread chart above summarizes changes across council windows.

Los Angeles party medians, their difference, and overall council spread across election-defined windows.

Council window Members Democratic-affiliated Republican-affiliated
2001 (Jan–Jun) 14 9 2
2001⁠–⁠2003 17 12 1
2003⁠–⁠2005 15 13 1
2005⁠–⁠2007 16 14 1
2007⁠–⁠2009 15 13 1
2009⁠–⁠2011 15 13 1
2011⁠–⁠2013 16 14 1
2013⁠–⁠2015 15 14 1
2015⁠–⁠2017 15 14 1
2017⁠–⁠2020 18 15 3
2020⁠–⁠2022 17 16 1
2022⁠–⁠2024 15 14 1
2024⁠–⁠2026 15 14 1

The top panel tracks the two party medians; the middle panel is their signed difference, Republican minus Democratic. The bottom panel measures the council’s overall spread, including differences within the Democratic majority: the middle half of members and the distance between the 10th and 90th percentiles. Republican groups are small, so their medians can represent a single member rather than a broad party bloc. Zine’s changing affiliation is excluded from the static party comparison but included in council-wide spread.

These comparisons describe changing membership on the pooled scale, not individual movement.

Party affiliation and organizational endorsements

Party affiliation

Affiliation evidence Members
Democratic 47
Republican 5
Republican / Independent 1
Republican / later unaffiliated 1
Unknown 2

The historical affiliation ledger includes nine Democratic affiliation/alignment claims supported by separate research. Evidence ranges from official party records to dated journalism and institutional biographies; exact affiliation boundaries remain unknown where the sources do not give them. Zine is kept separate because he changed from Republican to no-party registration during his service. Wachs also has documented Republican and Independent history and is kept outside the static two-party comparison. Galanter and Pacheco retain unknown labels in the researched ledger. Greuel’s earlier Republican history ended before this vote window; Park’s Democratic switch also preceded her council votes. Lee’s Republican claim is dated 2019 rather than verified current registration. Party alone does not capture differences among Democratic-affiliated members.

DSA endorsements

DSA-LA named Raman, Hernandez and Soto-Martínez as endorsed councilmembers in November 2023. California DSA documented Jurado’s endorsement and the four-member group after the 2024 election. Socialists in Office coordinates these officeholders; it is not treated as a second independent endorsement group or an invented formal council caucus.

Council Comparison Endorsed Others Endorsed median Others median Median difference
2022⁠–⁠2024 All fitted members 3 12 -2.66 0.27 -2.93
2022⁠–⁠2024 Within Democratic-affiliated members 3 11 -2.66 0.25 -2.90
2024⁠–⁠2026 All fitted members 4 11 -2.02 0.29 -2.31
2024⁠–⁠2026 Within Democratic-affiliated members 4 10 -2.02 0.29 -2.31

In 2022–2024, every endorsed member’s point estimate lies left of every other fitted member. In 2024–2026, every endorsed member’s point estimate lies left of every other fitted member. This describes point estimates, not guaranteed separation of their uncertainty intervals.

Abundant Housing LA

AHLA’s housing-abundance endorsements are distinct from DSA’s. Its 2022 update documents support for Yaroslavsky and Soto-Martínez. Its 2024 annual list includes Raman, Harris-Dawson, Hutt and Nazarian. The latter combines election stages, so it should not be read as one simultaneous slate.

Member Documented election year Pooled voting position
Katy Young-Yaroslavsky 2022 -0.07
Hugo Soto-Martinez 2022 -2.66
Adrin Nazarian 2024 0.47
Nithya Raman 2024 -0.43
Marqueece Harris-Dawson 2024 -0.24
Heather Hutt 2024 0.10

The six-member list above covers endorsements documented in 2022 and 2024. The comparison below is narrower: only incoming members in the covered 2024 races, four listed and two not listed. It excludes holdovers and District 6. The within-Democrat row compares those four listed Democrats with Jurado alone.

Comparison Endorsed Others Endorsed median Others median Median difference
All fitted members 4 2 -0.07 -0.38 0.31
Within Democratic-affiliated members 4 1 -0.07 -1.38 1.31

The 2024 comparison includes incoming members only in covered races. “Others” means Lee and Jurado were not listed in that reviewed annual source; it is not proof they never received an endorsement. Holdovers and District 6 are not treated as unendorsed controls. Among Democratic-affiliated members, the outside group is Jurado alone, making that comparison descriptive rather than a broad test of AHLA’s politics.

Interpretation and limits

The pooled scale reveals substantial differences within a largely Democratic council and a distinct DSA-endorsed group. Historical coverage and affiliation evidence remain incomplete; positions summarize each member’s observed voting history rather than change within a career. Detailed construction and estimation limits are in the technical appendix.